Poncho-wear.pikachu Rayquaza P.w. Pikachu Box
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Poncho-wear.pikachu Rayquaza P.w. Pikachu Box

2016 Japanese XY Promo Poncho-wear.pikachu Rayquaza P.w. Pikachu Box

Market value
$9,022
Last sale
$9,022
Guaranteed buyback
$8,119
90% within 5 minutes of pulling
$7,217
80% anytime after, no expiration
Set
XY Promo
Year
2016
Number
230
Grade
PSA 9
Cert number
106693797
Variant
Base
Language
japanese
Owner
CatchBack Vaults
Pack pool
Available in packs

Goes with this

2 slabs · $29,521
Basket total
$29,521
Marketplace fee
$0
Flat $1 per transaction, never a percentage
Buyback floor
$23,616
80% of market value, any time
Pack or buyBuy outright

Buy it outright. Poncho-wear.pikachu Rayquaza P.w. Pikachu Box is $9,022 on the marketplace. Its best pack route is the Sapphire Pack at $2,500, where it sits in the $5,000-$10,000 band — that band hits 8.00% of the time and we count 27 cards in it, so this one slab is at most a 0.296% pull. That works out to 338 packs, or about $843,750, to land this specific card — and that is the optimistic end, because the real pool is larger than the 27 cards we can see. Packs are the wrong tool for a named card.

TierTicketBandBand oddsExpected spend for this card
Diamond Pack$1,000the $6,500-$15,000 band2.00%$1,200,000+
Sapphire Pack$2,500the $5,000-$10,000 band8.00%$843,750+

Per-card chance = band probability / cards counted in that band's pool. Our pool data is a sample, so the per-card chance is an upper bound and the expected spend is a lower bound.

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