Charizard-holo Exp.20th Anniv-1st Ed.
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Charizard-holo Exp.20th Anniv-1st Ed.

2016 Japanese Expansion 20th Anniversary Charizard-holo Exp.20th Anniv-1st Ed.

Market value
$1,270
Last sale
$1,270
Guaranteed buyback
$1,143
90% within 5 minutes of pulling
$1,016
80% anytime after, no expiration
Set
Expansion 20th Anniversary
Year
2016
Number
011
Grade
PSA 10
Cert number
76455425
Variant
Exp.20th Anniv-1st Ed.
Language
japanese
Owner
CatchBack Vaults
Pack pool
Available in packs

Goes with this

3 slabs · $3,925
Basket total
$3,925
Marketplace fee
$0
Flat $1 per transaction, never a percentage
Buyback floor
$3,140
80% of market value, any time
Pack or buyBuy outright

Buy it outright. Charizard-holo Exp.20th Anniv-1st Ed. is $1,270 on the marketplace. Its best pack route is the Sapphire Pack at $2,500, where it sits in the $1,250-$2,000 band — that band hits 50.00% of the time and we count 30 cards in it, so this one slab is at most a 1.667% pull. That works out to 60 packs, or about $150,000, to land this specific card — and that is the optimistic end, because the real pool is larger than the 30 cards we can see. Packs are the wrong tool for a named card.

TierTicketBandBand oddsExpected spend for this card
Diamond Pack$1,000the $1,000-$2,000 band15.00%$200,000+
Sapphire Pack$2,500the $1,250-$2,000 band50.00%$150,000+

Per-card chance = band probability / cards counted in that band's pool. Our pool data is a sample, so the per-card chance is an upper bound and the expected spend is a lower bound.

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