Shohei Ohtani
SportsEpicShohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani

2018 Bowman Shohei Ohtani

Market value
$740
Last sale
$691
Guaranteed buyback
$666
90% within 5 minutes of pulling
$592
80% anytime after, no expiration
Set
Bowman
Year
2018
Number
49
Grade
PSA 10
Cert number
78017520
Manufacturer
Topps
Sport
baseball
Owner
CatchBack Vaults
Pack pool
Available in packs

Goes with this

3 slabs · $1,920
Basket total
$1,920
Marketplace fee
$0
Flat $1 per transaction, never a percentage
Buyback floor
$1,536
80% of market value, any time
Pack or buyBuy outright

Buy it outright. Shohei Ohtani is $740 on the marketplace. Its best pack route is the Hall of Fame Pack at $1,000, where it sits in the $500-$750 band — that band hits 50.00% of the time and we count 16 cards in it, so this one slab is at most a 3.125% pull. That works out to 32 packs, or about $32,000, to land this specific card — and that is the optimistic end, because the real pool is larger than the 16 cards we can see. Packs are the wrong tool for a named card.

TierTicketBandBand oddsExpected spend for this card
Pro Pack$50the $400-$800 band0.20%$650,000+
Elite Pack$100the $600-$1,000 band1.00%$170,000+
Legendary Pack$500the $500-$750 band15.00%$53,333+
Hall of Fame Pack$1,000the $500-$750 band50.00%$32,000+

Per-card chance = band probability / cards counted in that band's pool. Our pool data is a sample, so the per-card chance is an upper bound and the expected spend is a lower bound.

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