Michael Penix Jr.
SportsRareMichael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr.

2023 Panini Select Michael Penix Jr.

Market value
$209
Guaranteed buyback
$188
90% within 5 minutes of pulling
$167
80% anytime after, no expiration
Set
Panini Select
Year
2023
Number
504
Grade
PSA 10
Cert number
150169312
Manufacturer
Panini
Sport
football
Owner
CatchBack Vaults
Pack pool
Available in packs

Goes with this

2 slabs · $441
Basket total
$441
Marketplace fee
$0
Flat $1 per transaction, never a percentage
Buyback floor
$353
80% of market value, any time
Pack or buyBuy outright

Buy it outright. Michael Penix Jr. is $209 on the marketplace. Its best pack route is the Elite Pack at $100, where it sits in the $150-$300 band — that band hits 10.00% of the time and we count 30 cards in it, so this one slab is at most a 0.333% pull. That works out to 300 packs, or about $30,000, to land this specific card — and that is the optimistic end, because the real pool is larger than the 30 cards we can see. Packs are the wrong tool for a named card.

TierTicketBandBand oddsExpected spend for this card
Rookie Pack$25the $200-$500 band0.38%$197,368+
Pro Pack$50the $200-$400 band0.50%$250,000+
Elite Pack$100the $150-$300 band10.00%$30,000+

Per-card chance = band probability / cards counted in that band's pool. Our pool data is a sample, so the per-card chance is an upper bound and the expected spend is a lower bound.

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